Goodbye 2016
It is difficult to sit down on the Eve of New Year’s day to try
and evaluate what the past year has been.
At all levels of interface - global, national, professional and personal
levels. Each sphere stands on its own,
with its own unique characteristics and occurrences. There is much to be thankful for, in terms of
blessings and opportunities. Yet there
is pause for reflection, for a good introspective look at how things could have
been done better, on a number of different fronts. Have we failed in relating to different
groups of people in our immediate vicinity, in the various communities. Are there lessons to leave to my three
children? (Incidentally, this is the
reason for this blog. I would hope to
write a great deal more on this medium – and this may develop into a
full-fledged resolution for 2017) Not wishing to make any excuses for myself,
the reality is that in real time, it may be difficult to pursue a rigorous and daily rationalisation that is didactically reflective and accurately depicts the correct analysis
for the events in hand at the time they transpire. Increasingly our lives are fashioned by what
we read online – electronic renderings of news and misrepresentations. They do fashion our thinking (some of us are
persuaded by what we wish to read for ourselves).
So let’s make a limited start – Global and National
observations.
Global
We have to say goodbye to the Obama presidency. Its report card? A liberal agenda, which saw the legalization
of same sex marriages, sits very uncomfortably with one’s sense of morality and
spiritual teaching. The sheer
permissiveness that received the full support of the White House is what
contributes to an insidious degradation of the social and moral order. How do we even begin to fathom what lies
next, in a country which is supposed to lead the free world (for how much
longer, one wonders). In a US president,
one expects to see a good and effective communicator, who balances eloquence
with a commensurate ability to get things done.
Not so easy to find this in one man.
But I think Obama tried. In terms
of his legacy (which is for the next administration to re-write) this President
did exemplify family values, tried to introduce affordable health care, and
Americans did benefit. On a number of
foreign policy fronts, questions remain – Russia, Syria and Israel – and the
position taken by the US does present problems which are not soluble. The lack of intervention has been manifestly
apparent.
Then there is Trump, and the mass repudiation of the
establishment and traditional institutions, that swept him into a dominance of
the electoral college. The next month
alone will give some hint on what lies ahead.
The rise of populism and the blatant refusal to accept the status quo
will forge ahead in a number of European countries. The UK’s management of
Brexit will receive additional texture this coming year. What remains is a sad
precedent for governance by referendum (without any preset parameters for
success). Never again should critical
issues of sovereignty be so decided. The
resignations that followed also go to show the absence of any sense of
responsibility on the part of leaders to accept and shoulder responsibility for
campaign positions and statements made – in haste and expediency.
Then there is China – a real concern. We have seen several instances where China
has been flexing – imposing its views on countries and supplicants. How will they approach ASEAN in the next
year, perhaps to the detriment of Singapore.
Lee Kuan Yew has written of China’s repeated guarantees that it seeks
nothing more than a peaceful rise and that it will never become a hegemon. Two views are advanced. One view is that China will quietly become strong
and quietly increase their influence in the region, without having to act like
an overbearing presence. The other view
is that China will flex its muscles and try to browbeat everyone, using various
means. It is likely to be a hybrid
mixture of both views that will advance the agenda for the future. The US cannot be counted to provide the
counter-balance for the region. There is
much that can contribute to concern for the future. China will be able to demonstrate that it can
keep apace with the US in terms of the military, technology and other advances. Size does count and it matters - especially for Singapore.
National
How does Singapore position itself viz China? There have
been several instances of ‘flexing’, and also indirect pressure. Can a small country rise above this pettiness
and move into a new avuncular dimension of diplomacy that will see mutual
interests satisfied, at least to large degree.
It is a time to test our diplomatic nous. For example, there are thousands of patent
agents and lawyers in China – their capabilities are growing, and it is not
unexpected that they will spread their influence and services into the rest of
Asia. This is a space that we will have
to watch.
At home an economic slowdown would mean that we have to make
haste with a restructuring of the economy.
New economic areas of national priority will emerge (the Committee for
the Future Economy’s report is imminent) and set the agenda for the next few
years. Can the workforce, including skilled PMETs adjust and adapt to this new
disruption? The skills future program
must succeed, and failure is not an option. Can the innovation creation and turn-around
occur quickly enough to turn the economy around? Will a new resilience package be rolled
out? What about the competitiveness of
the Sing dollar, and non-oil domestic exports – amidst a global climate that
appears to be veering away from free trade and globalization? The good-bye to 2016 ushers these questions
for which answers beckon in 2017.
Amidst these uncertainties, I turn to my 3 children – Ashley
(7), James (3) and Joshua (0). Their
future and wellbeing is what motivates me and my wife to find the energy and impetus to
carry on, to contribute and make a good life for each of them. Nothing would be possible without God's help.
Happy New Year.
Happy New Year Stan, and thank you for sharing
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